Wednesday, December 8, 2010

2010 WASEAN Team Ratings – Final Regular Season

Boise State finishes the year on top despite their overtime loss at Nevada. Would I rank them number 1, personally? No. I’d rank them fourth or fifth. Do I think they could be justified as no worse than even money on a neutral field with any team in the country? I do think that. WASEAN, as it’s designed right now measures a team’s strength – not how good their season necessarily was.

I’m working on that though. I’m working on a methodology for a separate rating that would measure the quality of the team’s season. It will still adjust for schedule strength. But it will also make the ratings look a little more ‘normal’.

The idea is to figure WASEAN as I currently do, but then add a step that will look at the team’s schedule and emphasize wins and losses (as opposed to points scored and allowed) more. Hopefully I can get that done in the next couple of weeks.

Without further adieu, here are the final regular season rankings. Well, almost final. I’ll add in the Army-Navy game next week (as well as the elite 8 of the FCS playoffs).

RK LW Team WASEAN RW RL RT
1 1 Boise State 0.8857 11 0 1
2 2 Oregon 0.8823 12 0 0
3 3 TCU 0.8563 12 0 0
4 4 Stanford 0.8442 11 1 0
5 5 Ohio State 0.8427 11 1 0
6 6 Alabama 0.8337 9 3 0
7 7 Auburn 0.8151 12 0 1
8 8 Virginia Tech 0.7890 11 2 0
9 9 Arkansas 0.7829 9 2 1
10 11 Wisconsin 0.7727 11 1 0
11 13 Oklahoma 0.7715 11 2 0
12 12 Missouri 0.7712 10 2 0
13 14 LSU 0.7649 10 2 0
14 16 Oklahoma State 0.7589 10 2 0
15 19 Nevada 0.7554 11 1 1
16 15 Florida State 0.7551 9 4 0
17 18 Texas A&M 0.7456 9 3 0
18 17 Nebraska 0.7453 9 3 1
19 20 Delaware 0.7436 9 1 1
20 10 South Carolina 0.7411 9 4 0
21 21 North Carolina State 0.7381 8 3 1
22 22 West Virginia 0.7346 8 2 2
23 23 Iowa 0.7277 7 5 0
24 26 Arizona State 0.7250 5 6 1
25 24 Arizona 0.7234 7 4 1
26 25 Georgia 0.7183 6 5 1
27 27 Miami (FL) 0.7134 7 4 1
28 36 Villanova 0.7106 7 4 1
29 31 Hawaii 0.7066 10 3 0
30 29 Florida 0.7015 6 5 1
31 34 Utah 0.6983 9 2 1
32 33 Mississippi State 0.6963 8 3 1
33 37 USC 0.6891 8 5 0
34 35 Michigan State 0.6890 10 1 1
35 32 Illinois 0.6855 6 5 1
36 41 Pittsburgh 0.6853 7 4 1
37 28 Northern Illinois 0.6800 10 3 0
38 38 Notre Dame 0.6790 7 4 1
39 40 UCF 0.6757 10 3 0
40 30 William & Mary 0.6743 8 4 0
41 39 Clemson 0.6737 6 5 1
42 45 New Hampshire 0.6703 8 3 1
43 42 Maryland 0.6667 8 4 0
44 49 Appalachian State 0.6644 10 1 1
45 43 Oregon State 0.6631 5 6 1
46 44 Air Force 0.6554 8 4 0
47 47 San Diego State 0.6514 8 4 0
48 46 North Carolina 0.6509 7 5 0
49 48 California 0.6461 5 7 0
50 61 Georgia Southern 0.6362 8 4 1
51 51 Navy 0.6356 8 3 0
52 52 Louisville 0.6294 6 5 1
53 54 Baylor 0.6281 7 5 0
54 55 Tulsa 0.6275 9 3 0
55 53 Penn State 0.6264 7 5 0
56 56 Kansas State 0.6259 7 5 0
57 59 Pennsylvania 0.6141 8 1 1
58 57 Michigan 0.6140 6 5 1
59 58 Jacksonville 0.6129 9 1 0
60 64 Connecticut 0.6126 7 4 1
61 68 Wofford 0.6109 9 2 0
62 60 Tennessee 0.6045 5 6 1
63 50 Stephen F. Austin 0.6023 9 3 0
64 69 James Madison 0.5991 6 4 1
65 67 Georgia Tech 0.5990 6 6 0
66 65 Southern Miss 0.5969 8 3 1
67 66 Kentucky 0.5965 6 6 0
68 62 South Florida 0.5929 5 5 2
69 70 Texas Tech 0.5899 7 5 0
70 72 Syracuse 0.5843 7 5 0
71 71 Boston College 0.5833 7 5 0
72 63 Western Illinois 0.5833 8 5 0
73 73 Temple 0.5808 7 4 1
74 74 Brigham Young 0.5779 6 6 0
75 77 Robert Morris 0.5702 8 3 0
76 83 Fresno State 0.5681 8 4 0
77 76 Western Michigan 0.5651 6 6 0
78 78 Texas 0.5649 5 7 0
79 79 Liberty 0.5631 8 3 0
80 80 Massachusetts 0.5620 6 5 0
81 82 Lehigh 0.5580 10 3 0
82 81 Sacramento State 0.5565 5 4 1
83 93 North Dakota State 0.5560 9 4 0
84 75 Cincinnati 0.5556 4 8 0
85 85 Washington 0.5552 5 6 1
86 87 Eastern Washington 0.5550 9 2 0
87 84 Harvard 0.5509 7 3 0
88 86 Houston 0.5467 5 7 0
89 88 Mississippi 0.5448 4 7 1
90 98 Chattanooga 0.5434 6 5 0
91 89 Southern Methodist 0.5390 6 6 1
92 103 Elon 0.5386 5 4 1
93 101 Furman 0.5371 5 6 0
94 95 Ohio 0.5363 8 4 0
95 90 Toledo 0.5362 8 4 0
96 91 South Alabama 0.5350 4 0 0
97 92 Northwestern 0.5341 7 5 0
98 96 Northern Arizona 0.5318 5 5 0
99 102 Army 0.5316 6 4 1
100 94 Northern Iowa 0.5311 7 4 1
101 106 Southern Utah 0.5258 5 5 0
102 100 Louisiana Tech 0.5258 5 7 0
103 97 Jacksonville State 0.5255 7 2 2
104 105 South Dakota State 0.5243 5 6 0
105 108 Colorado 0.5219 5 7 0
106 107 Iowa State 0.5209 5 6 1
107 109 Virginia 0.5205 4 8 0
108 99 Idaho 0.5155 5 7 1
109 104 UCLA 0.5148 4 8 0
110 111 Colgate 0.5137 7 4 0
111 110 Old Dominion 0.5126 8 3 0
112 112 East Carolina 0.5122 5 5 2
113 113 Dayton 0.5114 8 1 1
114 116 South Carolina State 0.5040 8 3 0
115 118 Central Michigan 0.5036 3 8 1
116 139 Troy 0.4965 7 5 0
117 115 Florida International 0.4929 5 6 1
118 119 Dartmouth 0.4881 6 3 1
119 114 Bethune-Cookman 0.4858 9 2 0
120 120 Stony Brook 0.4847 5 4 1
121 121 Rutgers 0.4824 3 8 1
122 123 Brown 0.4809 5 3 2
123 127 Coastal Carolina 0.4773 5 5 2
124 128 Arkansas State 0.4760 4 7 1
125 125 Jackson State 0.4760 7 2 0
126 122 Sam Houston State 0.4753 6 4 1
127 148 Miami (OH) 0.4750 9 4 0
128 126 Minnesota 0.4745 3 9 0
129 133 Richmond 0.4740 4 5 2
130 117 Montana State 0.4736 6 3 2
131 132 Bryant 0.4711 5 4 0
132 129 Drake 0.4701 6 4 0
133 134 Duke 0.4698 3 9 0
134 136 Maine 0.4686 3 7 1
135 130 Purdue 0.4676 4 7 1
136 140 Rhode Island 0.4669 4 6 1
137 131 Montana 0.4662 6 4 0
138 137 Grambling State 0.4649 8 1 1
139 142 Kent State 0.4616 5 7 0
140 141 Indiana 0.4614 4 7 1
141 124 Southeast Missouri State 0.4610 8 3 0
142 138 Murray State 0.4610 6 5 0
143 135 Central Arkansas 0.4609 6 4 0
144 144 Missouri State 0.4579 5 4 2
145 145 Youngstown State 0.4570 3 8 0
146 143 Southern Illinois 0.4562 3 6 1
147 146 Cal Poly 0.4561 6 4 0
148 150 Duquesne 0.4485 7 4 0
149 149 Albany 0.4479 6 4 1
150 147 Washington State 0.4460 2 10 0
151 152 Central Connecticut State 0.4449 5 3 2
152 153 Monmouth 0.4402 3 7 1
153 151 McNeese State 0.4396 6 5 0
154 155 UTEP 0.4376 6 6 0
155 154 Wake Forest 0.4370 3 9 0
156 156 Yale 0.4335 7 3 0
157 157 Texas Southern 0.4287 6 2 1
158 158 San Diego 0.4268 5 5 0
159 159 UAB 0.4229 3 7 2
160 160 Eastern Kentucky 0.4194 4 5 0
161 162 Marshall 0.4193 5 6 1
162 161 Wyoming 0.4189 3 9 0
163 164 Samford 0.4167 3 7 0
164 163 Holy Cross 0.4152 6 5 0
165 170 Utah State 0.4102 4 8 0
166 165 Fordham 0.4077 5 5 0
167 168 Wagner 0.4039 4 5 1
168 169 California-Davis 0.4033 6 5 0
169 167 Indiana State 0.4011 3 5 1
170 166 Vanderbilt 0.3990 2 10 0
171 178 Middle Tennessee State 0.3937 6 6 0
172 172 Prairie View A&M 0.3883 6 4 0
173 171 Weber State 0.3874 5 5 1
174 173 Georgia State 0.3853 4 3 2
175 175 Sacred Heart 0.3836 4 7 0
176 174 South Dakota 0.3836 3 7 0
177 177 Columbia 0.3801 4 6 0
178 176 Ball State 0.3755 3 7 2
179 182 North Texas 0.3726 3 9 0
180 181 Rice 0.3715 4 8 0
181 179 Florida A&M 0.3710 7 3 1
182 180 North Dakota 0.3679 2 8 0
183 184 Kansas 0.3660 3 9 0
184 185 Bowling Green 0.3655 2 10 0
185 183 Tennessee-Martin 0.3643 5 5 0
186 187 Louisiana-Monroe 0.3602 5 6 1
187 186 Tennessee Tech 0.3563 4 6 0
188 189 Lafayette 0.3550 2 8 1
189 204 San Jose State 0.3539 1 11 1
190 190 Alabama State 0.3500 6 3 0
191 192 Georgetown 0.3472 4 6 1
192 191 Tulane 0.3456 4 8 0
193 193 Western Kentucky 0.3444 1 10 1
194 195 Alcorn State 0.3432 4 6 0
195 194 Illinois State 0.3430 4 5 1
196 196 UNLV 0.3408 2 11 0
197 197 Butler 0.3385 2 7 0
198 199 Colorado State 0.3380 3 9 0
199 198 Campbell 0.3376 2 7 1
200 200 Tennessee State 0.3318 3 7 0
201 205 Marist 0.3316 3 7 1
202 201 Texas State 0.3307 3 6 1
203 188 Florida Atlantic 0.3295 4 8 0
204 206 Louisiana-Lafayette 0.3294 3 9 0
205 202 Southeastern Louisiana 0.3291 2 8 0
206 203 Hampton 0.3286 6 5 0
207 207 Portland State 0.3199 2 9 0
208 208 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 0.3157 4 6 0
209 210 Buffalo 0.3101 2 10 0
210 209 Northern Colorado 0.3055 2 7 1
211 213 Western Carolina 0.3042 2 8 0
212 211 Northwestern State 0.3025 2 6 1
213 212 Norfolk State 0.2986 5 5 0
214 214 Nicholls State 0.2859 2 7 1
215 215 Towson 0.2805 0 10 1
216 219 Citadel 0.2719 2 8 0
217 216 St. Francis (PA) 0.2703 1 10 0
218 218 Eastern Michigan 0.2674 1 10 1
219 217 Gardner-Webb 0.2661 2 6 2
220 221 Morehead State 0.2610 4 6 1
221 220 Eastern Illinois 0.2570 1 9 0
222 222 Presbyterian 0.2523 2 8 0
223 223 Lamar 0.2487 2 6 0
224 224 Southern University 0.2475 2 7 0
225 226 Akron 0.2454 1 9 2
226 228 Princeton 0.2427 0 9 1
227 227 Alabama A&M 0.2426 2 8 0
228 225 Delaware State 0.2423 3 8 0
229 230 Davidson 0.2411 3 7 0
230 231 Cornell 0.2399 2 8 0
231 229 Virginia Military 0.2396 2 8 0
232 232 Bucknell 0.2344 1 10 0
233 233 Memphis 0.2334 1 11 0
234 236 New Mexico State 0.2303 2 10 0
235 234 North Carolina Central 0.2296 1 6 1
236 235 Morgan State 0.2273 3 7 0
237 237 New Mexico 0.2199 1 11 0
238 238 Idaho State 0.2087 0 9 1
239 239 Charleston Southern 0.1995 1 8 0
240 240 Austin Peay 0.1798 1 9 0
241 241 North Carolina A&T 0.1668 1 8 1
242 242 Howard 0.1387 0 10 0
243 243 Savannah State 0.1189 1 8 0
244 244 Valparaiso 0.1137 0 9 0
245 245 Mississippi Valley State 0.1072 0 10 0