What if WASEAN were used for the BCS Standings?

I was wondering what the BCS bowl set up would be if WASEAN were used to determine the matchups.

What I'll do is use the BCS rules, but my ratings to determine who stays and goes. I'll use WASEAN to project the winners of any relevant remaining games as well.

Pertinent rules are:

1) No team can get a BCS at large berth with fewer than 9 wins or a ranking lower than #14.

2) No more than two teams can get a BCS bid from any conference.

3) The best non-BCS conference champion gets an automatic berth, as long as they are ranked in the top 12, or the top 16 if they are ahead of a BCS league champion. Other non-BCS conference champions that meet the ranking requirements of this rule are eligible to be selected for an at large berth.
4) Notre Dame is guaranteed a bid if they finish in the top 8.

5) The #3 team gets an automatic bid if they are from a BCS league.

6) The #4 team gets an automatic bid if they are from a BCS league and the #3 team already gets an automatic bid for winning their league, or qualifying under rule #3.

I guess #4 isn't really relevant after all . . .

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2009 WASEAN ratings, week 11

Week 11 featured some great games, but there wasn't a whole lot of movement at the top.

The game of the day saw Ohio State clinch a berth in the Rose Bowl with an overtime win over much maligned Iowa, playing with their backup QB, James Vandenberg. He was much improved this week, but still threw 3 interceptions. Iowa fans will be wondering what might have been, as there is little doubt in my mind that with Rick Stanzi they'd be sitting at 11-0 and smelling the Roses.

We can't forget though, Ohio State deserves credit for overcoming a couple of tough losses to win the Big 10. I've got them ranked #14 in the FBS, which is down for them, but they are still better than they generally have been getting credit for. Iowa sits at #29, but a lot of that is the Northwestern loss. If they'd won that game 30-17, as opposed to losing 17-10, they be #20 right now.

The top 4 remain unchanged, with Texas, TCU, Florida and Alabama. Texas put a little bit more distance between themselves and the pack with a 47-14 victory at Baylor. TCU was up 35-7 just 19 minutes into the game and throttled Utah, 55-28. Florida has their hands full against South Carolina, but still managed a 24-14 road victory. Alabama started slow but didn't have much trouble with Mississippi State, winning 31-3.

Boise State moves up a spot to #5 off of another blowout, this time 63-25 vs. Idaho. Last week's #6 Cincinnati survived another home game against a decent but not great Big East opponent, #32 (FBS) West Virginia, winning 24-21.

Meanwhile last week's #7 Oklahoma destroyed Texas A&M, 65-10, to move past Cincinnati. We discussed Oklahoma last week, and I know it seems strange seeing a 6-4 team ahead of a good 10-0 team - this Cincinnati squad is the real deal, this isn't Hawaii from a couple of years ago. But to rehash quickly, Oklahoma's 4 losses are by a combined 12 points against teams ranked #1, #13, #16 and  #36 in the FBS, and all were on the road or neutral fields. This not your everyday 6-4 team. In their 6 wins they've outscored their opponents 284-60 (47-10 on average).

EDIT: Wouldn't it figure, East Carolina's 44-17 blowout at Tulsa Sunday night had enough trickle down effect to move Cincinnati back in front of Oklahoma. Every game counts!

Combine this with the fact that Cincinnati does not have a win over a currently ranked team and it's not that implausible that Oklahoma is a whisker ahead .8162 to .8152. Cincinnati's best wins are over #27 UConn, #30 Oregon State, #32 West Virginia and #37 Rutgers. They buried Rutgers, 47-15, but the other 3 games were decided by 2, 10 and 3 points.

The ACC rounds out the top 10. Virginia Tech holds the #8 spot with a 36-9 victory at Maryland. The two likely championship game participants, #9 Georgia Tech and #10 Clemson both scored impressive wins Saturday. The Yellow Jackets jumped over Clemson, Pitt and Oregon after a 49-10 blowout of Duke.

Click 'read more' for the rankings, they'll be updated after Sunday's East Carolina/Tulsa game.

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2009 WASEAN conference ratings, week 11

Not much shake up in the conference ratings this week, they've pretty much stabilized at this point. There are a few big intra-conference games coming up, like Florida/Florida State, South Carolina/Clemson, Georgia Tech/Georgia, so maybe we'll see a little movement then.

There's been some talk of Boise State, Fresno State and Nevada joining the WAC. The speculation is that this would lead to the MWC getting an automatic BCS bid. So this week, I'll post the conference ratings, and below those, I'll post the conference ratings as if this realignment were already in place.

Please click 'read more' to see the ratings.

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