2010 WASEAN Team Ratings – Final Regular Season

Boise State finishes the year on top despite their overtime loss at Nevada. Would I rank them number 1, personally? No. I’d rank them fourth or fifth. Do I think they could be justified as no worse than even money on a neutral field with any team in the country? I do think that. WASEAN, as it’s designed right now measures a team’s strength – not how good their season necessarily was.

I’m working on that though. I’m working on a methodology for a separate rating that would measure the quality of the team’s season. It will still adjust for schedule strength. But it will also make the ratings look a little more ‘normal’.

The idea is to figure WASEAN as I currently do, but then add a step that will look at the team’s schedule and emphasize wins and losses (as opposed to points scored and allowed) more. Hopefully I can get that done in the next couple of weeks.

Without further adieu, here are the final regular season rankings. Well, almost final. I’ll add in the Army-Navy game next week (as well as the elite 8 of the FCS playoffs).

RK	LW	Team	WASEAN	RW	RL	RT
1	1	Boise State	0.8857	11	0	1
2	2	Oregon	0.8823	12	0	0
3	3	TCU	0.8563	12	0	0
4	4	Stanford	0.8442	11	1	0
5	5	Ohio State	0.8427	11	1	0
6	6	Alabama	0.8337	9	3	0
7	7	Auburn	0.8151	12	0	1
8	8	Virginia Tech	0.7890	11	2	0
9	9	Arkansas	0.7829	9	2	1
10	11	Wisconsin	0.7727	11	1	0
11	13	Oklahoma	0.7715	11	2	0
12	12	Missouri	0.7712	10	2	0
13	14	LSU	0.7649	10	2	0
14	16	Oklahoma State	0.7589	10	2	0
15	19	Nevada	0.7554	11	1	1
16	15	Florida State	0.7551	9	4	0
17	18	Texas A&M	0.7456	9	3	0
18	17	Nebraska	0.7453	9	3	1
19	20	Delaware	0.7436	9	1	1
20	10	South Carolina	0.7411	9	4	0
21	21	North Carolina State	0.7381	8	3	1
22	22	West Virginia	0.7346	8	2	2
23	23	Iowa	0.7277	7	5	0
24	26	Arizona State	0.7250	5	6	1
25	24	Arizona	0.7234	7	4	1
26	25	Georgia	0.7183	6	5	1
27	27	Miami (FL)	0.7134	7	4	1
28	36	Villanova	0.7106	7	4	1
29	31	Hawaii	0.7066	10	3	0
30	29	Florida	0.7015	6	5	1
31	34	Utah	0.6983	9	2	1
32	33	Mississippi State	0.6963	8	3	1
33	37	USC	0.6891	8	5	0
34	35	Michigan State	0.6890	10	1	1
35	32	Illinois	0.6855	6	5	1
36	41	Pittsburgh	0.6853	7	4	1
37	28	Northern Illinois	0.6800	10	3	0
38	38	Notre Dame	0.6790	7	4	1
39	40	UCF	0.6757	10	3	0
40	30	William & Mary	0.6743	8	4	0
41	39	Clemson	0.6737	6	5	1
42	45	New Hampshire	0.6703	8	3	1
43	42	Maryland	0.6667	8	4	0
44	49	Appalachian State	0.6644	10	1	1
45	43	Oregon State	0.6631	5	6	1
46	44	Air Force	0.6554	8	4	0
47	47	San Diego State	0.6514	8	4	0
48	46	North Carolina	0.6509	7	5	0
49	48	California	0.6461	5	7	0
50	61	Georgia Southern	0.6362	8	4	1
51	51	Navy	0.6356	8	3	0
52	52	Louisville	0.6294	6	5	1
53	54	Baylor	0.6281	7	5	0
54	55	Tulsa	0.6275	9	3	0
55	53	Penn State	0.6264	7	5	0
56	56	Kansas State	0.6259	7	5	0
57	59	Pennsylvania	0.6141	8	1	1
58	57	Michigan	0.6140	6	5	1
59	58	Jacksonville	0.6129	9	1	0
60	64	Connecticut	0.6126	7	4	1
61	68	Wofford	0.6109	9	2	0
62	60	Tennessee	0.6045	5	6	1
63	50	Stephen F. Austin	0.6023	9	3	0
64	69	James Madison	0.5991	6	4	1
65	67	Georgia Tech	0.5990	6	6	0
66	65	Southern Miss	0.5969	8	3	1
67	66	Kentucky	0.5965	6	6	0
68	62	South Florida	0.5929	5	5	2
69	70	Texas Tech	0.5899	7	5	0
70	72	Syracuse	0.5843	7	5	0
71	71	Boston College	0.5833	7	5	0
72	63	Western Illinois	0.5833	8	5	0
73	73	Temple	0.5808	7	4	1
74	74	Brigham Young	0.5779	6	6	0
75	77	Robert Morris	0.5702	8	3	0
76	83	Fresno State	0.5681	8	4	0
77	76	Western Michigan	0.5651	6	6	0
78	78	Texas	0.5649	5	7	0
79	79	Liberty	0.5631	8	3	0
80	80	Massachusetts	0.5620	6	5	0
81	82	Lehigh	0.5580	10	3	0
82	81	Sacramento State	0.5565	5	4	1
83	93	North Dakota State	0.5560	9	4	0
84	75	Cincinnati	0.5556	4	8	0
85	85	Washington	0.5552	5	6	1
86	87	Eastern Washington	0.5550	9	2	0
87	84	Harvard	0.5509	7	3	0
88	86	Houston	0.5467	5	7	0
89	88	Mississippi	0.5448	4	7	1
90	98	Chattanooga	0.5434	6	5	0
91	89	Southern Methodist	0.5390	6	6	1
92	103	Elon	0.5386	5	4	1
93	101	Furman	0.5371	5	6	0
94	95	Ohio	0.5363	8	4	0
95	90	Toledo	0.5362	8	4	0
96	91	South Alabama	0.5350	4	0	0
97	92	Northwestern	0.5341	7	5	0
98	96	Northern Arizona	0.5318	5	5	0
99	102	Army	0.5316	6	4	1
100	94	Northern Iowa	0.5311	7	4	1
101	106	Southern Utah	0.5258	5	5	0
102	100	Louisiana Tech	0.5258	5	7	0
103	97	Jacksonville State	0.5255	7	2	2
104	105	South Dakota State	0.5243	5	6	0
105	108	Colorado	0.5219	5	7	0
106	107	Iowa State	0.5209	5	6	1
107	109	Virginia	0.5205	4	8	0
108	99	Idaho	0.5155	5	7	1
109	104	UCLA	0.5148	4	8	0
110	111	Colgate	0.5137	7	4	0
111	110	Old Dominion	0.5126	8	3	0
112	112	East Carolina	0.5122	5	5	2
113	113	Dayton	0.5114	8	1	1
114	116	South Carolina State	0.5040	8	3	0
115	118	Central Michigan	0.5036	3	8	1
116	139	Troy	0.4965	7	5	0
117	115	Florida International	0.4929	5	6	1
118	119	Dartmouth	0.4881	6	3	1
119	114	Bethune-Cookman	0.4858	9	2	0
120	120	Stony Brook	0.4847	5	4	1
121	121	Rutgers	0.4824	3	8	1
122	123	Brown	0.4809	5	3	2
123	127	Coastal Carolina	0.4773	5	5	2
124	128	Arkansas State	0.4760	4	7	1
125	125	Jackson State	0.4760	7	2	0
126	122	Sam Houston State	0.4753	6	4	1
127	148	Miami (OH)	0.4750	9	4	0
128	126	Minnesota	0.4745	3	9	0
129	133	Richmond	0.4740	4	5	2
130	117	Montana State	0.4736	6	3	2
131	132	Bryant	0.4711	5	4	0
132	129	Drake	0.4701	6	4	0
133	134	Duke	0.4698	3	9	0
134	136	Maine	0.4686	3	7	1
135	130	Purdue	0.4676	4	7	1
136	140	Rhode Island	0.4669	4	6	1
137	131	Montana	0.4662	6	4	0
138	137	Grambling State	0.4649	8	1	1
139	142	Kent State	0.4616	5	7	0
140	141	Indiana	0.4614	4	7	1
141	124	Southeast Missouri State	0.4610	8	3	0
142	138	Murray State	0.4610	6	5	0
143	135	Central Arkansas	0.4609	6	4	0
144	144	Missouri State	0.4579	5	4	2
145	145	Youngstown State	0.4570	3	8	0
146	143	Southern Illinois	0.4562	3	6	1
147	146	Cal Poly	0.4561	6	4	0
148	150	Duquesne	0.4485	7	4	0
149	149	Albany	0.4479	6	4	1
150	147	Washington State	0.4460	2	10	0
151	152	Central Connecticut State	0.4449	5	3	2
152	153	Monmouth	0.4402	3	7	1
153	151	McNeese State	0.4396	6	5	0
154	155	UTEP	0.4376	6	6	0
155	154	Wake Forest	0.4370	3	9	0
156	156	Yale	0.4335	7	3	0
157	157	Texas Southern	0.4287	6	2	1
158	158	San Diego	0.4268	5	5	0
159	159	UAB	0.4229	3	7	2
160	160	Eastern Kentucky	0.4194	4	5	0
161	162	Marshall	0.4193	5	6	1
162	161	Wyoming	0.4189	3	9	0
163	164	Samford	0.4167	3	7	0
164	163	Holy Cross	0.4152	6	5	0
165	170	Utah State	0.4102	4	8	0
166	165	Fordham	0.4077	5	5	0
167	168	Wagner	0.4039	4	5	1
168	169	California-Davis	0.4033	6	5	0
169	167	Indiana State	0.4011	3	5	1
170	166	Vanderbilt	0.3990	2	10	0
171	178	Middle Tennessee State	0.3937	6	6	0
172	172	Prairie View A&M	0.3883	6	4	0
173	171	Weber State	0.3874	5	5	1
174	173	Georgia State	0.3853	4	3	2
175	175	Sacred Heart	0.3836	4	7	0
176	174	South Dakota	0.3836	3	7	0
177	177	Columbia	0.3801	4	6	0
178	176	Ball State	0.3755	3	7	2
179	182	North Texas	0.3726	3	9	0
180	181	Rice	0.3715	4	8	0
181	179	Florida A&M	0.3710	7	3	1
182	180	North Dakota	0.3679	2	8	0
183	184	Kansas	0.3660	3	9	0
184	185	Bowling Green	0.3655	2	10	0
185	183	Tennessee-Martin	0.3643	5	5	0
186	187	Louisiana-Monroe	0.3602	5	6	1
187	186	Tennessee Tech	0.3563	4	6	0
188	189	Lafayette	0.3550	2	8	1
189	204	San Jose State	0.3539	1	11	1
190	190	Alabama State	0.3500	6	3	0
191	192	Georgetown	0.3472	4	6	1
192	191	Tulane	0.3456	4	8	0
193	193	Western Kentucky	0.3444	1	10	1
194	195	Alcorn State	0.3432	4	6	0
195	194	Illinois State	0.3430	4	5	1
196	196	UNLV	0.3408	2	11	0
197	197	Butler	0.3385	2	7	0
198	199	Colorado State	0.3380	3	9	0
199	198	Campbell	0.3376	2	7	1
200	200	Tennessee State	0.3318	3	7	0
201	205	Marist	0.3316	3	7	1
202	201	Texas State	0.3307	3	6	1
203	188	Florida Atlantic	0.3295	4	8	0
204	206	Louisiana-Lafayette	0.3294	3	9	0
205	202	Southeastern Louisiana	0.3291	2	8	0
206	203	Hampton	0.3286	6	5	0
207	207	Portland State	0.3199	2	9	0
208	208	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	0.3157	4	6	0
209	210	Buffalo	0.3101	2	10	0
210	209	Northern Colorado	0.3055	2	7	1
211	213	Western Carolina	0.3042	2	8	0
212	211	Northwestern State	0.3025	2	6	1
213	212	Norfolk State	0.2986	5	5	0
214	214	Nicholls State	0.2859	2	7	1
215	215	Towson	0.2805	0	10	1
216	219	Citadel	0.2719	2	8	0
217	216	St. Francis (PA)	0.2703	1	10	0
218	218	Eastern Michigan	0.2674	1	10	1
219	217	Gardner-Webb	0.2661	2	6	2
220	221	Morehead State	0.2610	4	6	1
221	220	Eastern Illinois	0.2570	1	9	0
222	222	Presbyterian	0.2523	2	8	0
223	223	Lamar	0.2487	2	6	0
224	224	Southern University	0.2475	2	7	0
225	226	Akron	0.2454	1	9	2
226	228	Princeton	0.2427	0	9	1
227	227	Alabama A&M	0.2426	2	8	0
228	225	Delaware State	0.2423	3	8	0
229	230	Davidson	0.2411	3	7	0
230	231	Cornell	0.2399	2	8	0
231	229	Virginia Military	0.2396	2	8	0
232	232	Bucknell	0.2344	1	10	0
233	233	Memphis	0.2334	1	11	0
234	236	New Mexico State	0.2303	2	10	0
235	234	North Carolina Central	0.2296	1	6	1
236	235	Morgan State	0.2273	3	7	0
237	237	New Mexico	0.2199	1	11	0
238	238	Idaho State	0.2087	0	9	1
239	239	Charleston Southern	0.1995	1	8	0
240	240	Austin Peay	0.1798	1	9	0
241	241	North Carolina A&T	0.1668	1	8	1
242	242	Howard	0.1387	0	10	0
243	243	Savannah State	0.1189	1	8	0
244	244	Valparaiso	0.1137	0	9	0
245	245	Mississippi Valley State	0.1072	0	10	0