Sunday, November 8, 2009

2009 WASEAN ratings, week 10

The big story of the weekend was Iowa finally turning into a pumpkin, with a 17-10 loss at home to Northwestern. This was a horrible loss, Northwestern is not a very good team at all. Even after beating Iowa, Northwestern is still ranked #108 overall (up from #125 a week ago), behind 22 FCS teams.

Iowa dropped from #11 to #32 (among FBS teams) with the loss. Of course, this wasn't the same Iowa team we saw all year, their QB, Ricky Stanzi was injured early in the second quarter and replaced by a freshman (James Vandenberg) who went 9-for-27 for 82 yards with a QB rating of 27.1. Iowa didn't score another point. Northwestern scored a defensive TD on the play where Stanzi was hurt, tacked on another TD after a turnover on Vandenberg's first drive and scored just 3 points the rest of the way.

My best guess would have Iowa winning the game 30-13 if Stanzi doesn't get hurt. They'd probably only have dropped to 16th in the rankings. Just a huge injury.

Texas stays #1 after beating UCF 35-3. There really isn't much in their path (Baylor, Kansas, Texas A&M) until the Big 12 Championship Game, likely against Nebraska.

Meanwhile, TCU continues to destroy anyone that gets put in front of them. They get their last test of the season against #41 Utah this coming weekend. If they win that, they should finish 12-0. The Horned Frogs moved up to #2 this week, passing Florida. Boise State is a great team, and gets all the press, but TCU is probably the best non-BCS team in the country, and they could very well be the best team in the country. Too bad the SWC alignment isn't in place . . . that Texas/TCU game would be one I'd love to see.

Alabama did what was expected vs. LSU, and Cincinnati slipped up a little vs. UConn, though they held on for a 47-45 win. So Alabama jumps to #4 and the Bearcats come in at #5 and Boise State stays #6.

Those are your national championship contenders. Anyone else would need a miracle to crack past those 6, except for Georgia Tech or maybe Pitt, who would only need a ton of help, as opposed to a miracle. The gap in the WASEAN ratings between #6 and #7 is bigger than the gap between #7 and #15.

I realize Oklahoma looks strange at #7. While they are 5-4, they have lost those 4 games by a combined total of 12 points. Two of those losses were on the road against the #15 (1 point) and #17 (7 points) teams. Another was by 3 on a neutral field to the #1 team. They lost by 2 to the #29 team. There's a good chance they will be 8-4 by the time it's all said and done, and if they aren't, they won't be #7 anymore.

Please click 'read more' to see the ratings. They've been updated with the Nevada/San Jose State game.

RK
LW
Team
WASEAN
RW
RL
RT
1
1
Texas
0.8772
9
0
0
2
3
TCU
0.8721
9
0
0
3
2
Florida
0.8698
9
0
0
4
5
Alabama
0.8423
9
0
0
5
4
Cincinnati
0.8390
9
0
0
6
6
Boise State
0.8308
9
0
0
7
8
Oklahoma
0.8082
5
4
0
8
10
Virginia Tech
0.8015
6
3
0
9
13
Clemson
0.7967
5
3
1
10
14
Pittsburgh
0.7932
8
1
0
11
7
Oregon
0.7911
7
2
0
12
9
Georgia Tech
0.7897
8
1
1
13
17
Ohio State
0.7858
8
2
0
14
15
LSU
0.7853
7
2
0
15
16
Miami (FL)
0.7834
7
1
1
16
18
Villanova
0.7590
8
1
0
17
12
Penn State
0.7551
8
2
0
18
20
Nebraska
0.7524
6
3
0
19
19
USC
0.7491
7
2
0
20
24
Mississippi
0.7425
6
3
0
21
25
Arizona
0.7340
6
2
0
22
21
Tennessee
0.7339
5
4
0
23
26
South Florida
0.7265
6
2
0
24
22
Fresno State
0.7245
6
2
1
25
32
Arkansas
0.7243
5
4
0
26
23
Northern Iowa
0.7232
6
3
0
27
28
Texas Tech
0.7221
6
3
0
28
33
Stanford
0.7217
6
3
0
29
40
Oklahoma State
0.7189
7
2
0
30
29
Boston College
0.7160
5
3
1
31
27
William & Mary
0.7151
8
1
0
32
42
Brigham Young
0.7142
7
2
0
33
41
Connecticut
0.7112
4
5
0
34
31
Richmond
0.7066
8
1
0
35
30
Air Force
0.7046
6
2
2
36
11
Iowa
0.7030
9
1
0
37
47
Oregon State
0.7029
6
3
0
38
34
Central Michigan
0.7023
7
2
0
39
43
Auburn
0.6930
7
3
0
40
36
West Virginia
0.6924
7
2
0
41
37
Florida State
0.6922
4
5
0
42
39
North Carolina
0.6908
6
3
0
43
53
Southern Illinois
0.6902
7
1
0
44
38
Houston
0.6897
8
1
0
45
44
Elon
0.6848
8
1
0
46
46
Wisconsin
0.6784
6
2
1
47
35
Utah
0.6754
7
1
1
48
51
Mississippi State
0.6738
4
5
0
49
56
Georgia
0.6737
5
4
0
50
50
South Carolina
0.6634
6
4
0
51
49
Notre Dame
0.6600
5
3
1
52
57
Michigan State
0.6591
4
5
1
53
63
Wake Forest
0.6589
4
4
2
54
54
Rutgers
0.6574
6
2
0
55
60
Navy
0.6573
5
3
2
56
55
Jacksonville State
0.6541
6
3
0
57
58
Kentucky
0.6525
5
4
0
58
52
Kansas
0.6450
5
4
0
59
45
California
0.6429
6
3
0
60
48
South Dakota State
0.6379
7
2
0
61
69
Northern Illinois
0.6361
6
3
0
62
59
Missouri
0.6293
5
4
0
63
64
Washington
0.6290
3
5
1
64
61
UCLA
0.6257
4
5
0
65
67
Southern Miss
0.6202
5
4
0
66
70
Arizona State
0.6198
4
5
0
67
62
New Hampshire
0.6126
8
1
0
68
75
Kansas State
0.6095
6
4
0
69
87
Harvard
0.6091
6
2
0
70
66
Duke
0.6079
5
4
0
71
71
Texas A&M
0.6068
5
4
0
72
72
East Carolina
0.6063
5
4
0
73
73
South Carolina State
0.6041
8
1
0
74
85
Pennsylvania
0.6026
5
1
2
75
65
Virginia
0.5967
3
6
0
76
79
Appalachian State
0.5945
6
2
1
77
96
Nevada
0.5919
6
3
0
78
76
North Carolina State
0.5918
4
5
0
79
86
Holy Cross
0.5915
8
1
0
80
81
Massachusetts
0.5911
5
4
0
81
94
Liberty
0.5807
6
2
0
82
68
Michigan
0.5806
5
4
1
83
82
Troy
0.5795
7
2
0
84
88
Lafayette
0.5756
7
1
1
85
97
Baylor
0.5730
4
5
0
86
91
Marshall
0.5712
5
4
0
87
90
Tulsa
0.5705
4
5
0
88
92
UCF
0.5674
5
4
0
89
107
Brown
0.5641
5
2
1
90
80
Minnesota
0.5631
4
5
1
91
84
Delaware
0.5624
5
3
0
92
74
Temple
0.5610
7
2
0
93
89
Ohio
0.5572
5
3
1
94
104
Louisiana Tech
0.5561
3
6
0
95
78
Iowa State
0.5560
5
5
0
96
95
James Madison
0.5511
4
4
1
97
77
Montana
0.5498
7
0
1
98
103
Purdue
0.5443
4
6
0
99
83
Southern Methodist
0.5439
5
2
2
100
108
Louisiana-Monroe
0.5420
5
4
0
101
109
Middle Tennessee
0.5347
6
3
0
102
102
Louisville
0.5309
3
6
0
103
99
Bowling Green
0.5305
4
5
0
104
100
Idaho
0.5281
7
3
0
105
113
Vanderbilt
0.5259
2
7
1
106
93
Arkansas State
0.5192
2
6
0
107
122
Colgate
0.5174
7
2
1
108
125
Northwestern
0.5151
6
4
0
109
115
Indiana
0.5075
4
6
0
110
114
Colorado
0.5072
3
6
0
111
118
Eastern Washington
0.5052
5
3
0
112
106
Utah State
0.5037
2
7
0
113
111
Central Connecticut State
0.5014
7
2
0
114
110
Buffalo
0.5002
3
5
1
115
128
Illinois
0.4990
3
6
0
116
98
Stephen F. Austin
0.4980
6
2
0
117
112
Syracuse
0.4970
3
5
1
118
116
Central Arkansas
0.4961
3
4
0
119
105
Albany
0.4949
6
4
0
120
143
Drake
0.4919
6
1
0
121
123
McNeese State
0.4904
6
2
0
122
124
Northern Arizona
0.4898
5
3
1
123
126
Weber State
0.4873
5
4
0
124
101
Southern Utah
0.4863
3
5
0
125
147
South Dakota
0.4829
3
3
2
126
120
Kent State
0.4812
5
5
0
127
119
Florida A&M
0.4756
6
2
1
128
117
San Diego State
0.4739
4
5
0
129
121
Colorado State
0.4734
3
7
0
130
127
Yale
0.4733
4
4
0
131
133
Maryland
0.4731
1
7
1
132
140
Texas State
0.4721
5
2
1
133
130
Maine
0.4704
3
5
0
134
139
Samford
0.4689
3
5
0
135
132
Eastern Illinois
0.4668
7
2
0
136
134
Norfolk State
0.4616
4
4
0
137
144
UNLV
0.4601
4
6
0
138
142
UAB
0.4596
4
5
0
139
138
Hofstra
0.4516
4
5
0
140
159
Montana State
0.4506
4
3
1
141
131
Western Michigan
0.4485
3
6
1
142
141
Akron
0.4420
2
7
0
143
137
Dayton
0.4418
7
1
0
144
154
Hawaii
0.4406
3
6
0
145
146
California-Davis
0.4368
3
4
1
146
135
Columbia
0.4350
2
6
0
147
151
Fordham
0.4346
4
5
0
148
129
Wyoming
0.4304
4
5
0
149
148
North Dakota State
0.4282
2
7
0
150
152
Stony Brook
0.4271
5
4
0
151
173
Southeastern Louisiana
0.4228
3
3
1
152
158
Illinois State
0.4209
5
4
0
153
149
UTEP
0.4172
3
5
1
154
163
Lehigh
0.4168
2
7
0
155
164
Jacksonville
0.4156
4
4
0
156
156
Youngstown State
0.4142
4
5
0
157
157
Furman
0.4102
4
5
0
158
150
Florida International
0.4052
1
7
1
159
162
Toledo
0.4037
4
5
0
160
136
Cal Poly
0.4033
3
5
0
161
160
North Dakota
0.4032
4
3
0
162
165
Missouri State
0.4022
6
4
0
163
172
Louisiana-Lafayette
0.4021
5
3
1
164
167
Chattanooga
0.4003
4
4
0
165
170
Memphis
0.3962
2
7
0
166
175
Monmouth
0.3961
5
4
0
167
145
Citadel
0.3949
4
4
1
168
161
Georgia Southern
0.3904
4
5
0
169
153
Florida Atlantic
0.3885
2
6
0
170
180
Wagner
0.3807
3
2
2
171
188
Wofford
0.3779
3
6
0
172
168
Prairie View A&M
0.3743
6
1
0
173
166
Grambling State
0.3688
5
4
0
174
176
Eastern Kentucky
0.3619
5
4
0
175
182
Miami (OH)
0.3598
1
9
0
176
181
Old Dominion
0.3588
6
2
0
177
171
Army
0.3577
2
6
1
178
155
San Jose State
0.3546
1
7
0
179
184
Cornell
0.3536
2
5
1
180
174
Ball State
0.3516
1
8
0
181
193
Robert Morris
0.3488
3
6
0
182
178
Marist
0.3486
6
3
0
183
191
Rhode Island
0.3486
1
8
0
184
169
North Texas
0.3476
2
6
1
185
177
Bryant
0.3473
2
6
0
186
179
Dartmouth
0.3463
1
6
1
187
183
San Diego
0.3336
2
6
0
188
189
Coastal Carolina
0.3273
4
5
0
189
213
Butler
0.3267
5
0
1
190
187
Delaware State
0.3258
3
5
0
191
190
Northern Colorado
0.3232
3
7
0
192
192
Hampton
0.3157
3
5
1
193
186
St. Francis (PA)
0.3148
2
6
1
194
194
Alabama A&M
0.3134
4
4
0
195
196
Sacred Heart
0.3123
2
7
0
196
185
Washington State
0.3065
0
8
1
197
197
Sacramento State
0.2999
4
5
0
198
217
Davidson
0.2927
3
5
0
199
211
North Carolina A&T
0.2895
3
5
1
200
204
Duquesne
0.2851
2
6
1
201
195
Tennessee Tech
0.2833
4
4
0
202
200
Gardner-Webb
0.2817
3
4
0
203
223
Tennessee-Martin
0.2798
3
5
0
204
210
Charleston Southern
0.2792
3
5
0
205
208
Bethune-Cookman
0.2755
4
4
0
206
199
Western Illinois
0.2741
1
8
0
207
203
Princeton
0.2739
2
5
1
208
209
Tulane
0.2739
2
6
1
209
207
Morgan State
0.2717
4
3
2
210
198
Virginia Military
0.2710
2
7
0
211
215
Bucknell
0.2687
3
6
0
212
205
New Mexico State
0.2653
3
6
0
213
206
New Mexico
0.2698
0
9
0
214
225
Rice
0.2637
0
9
0
215
216
Southern University
0.2600
3
3
0
216
202
Austin Peay
0.2589
2
6
0
217
212
Northeastern
0.2535
1
8
0
218
201
Eastern Michigan
0.2514
0
9
0
219
220
North Carolina Central
0.2459
0
5
2
220
214
Portland State
0.2443
1
8
0
221
222
Towson
0.2401
2
7
0
222
219
Winston-Salem State
0.2390
1
6
2
223
226
Sam Houston State
0.2385
3
5
0
224
221
Western Kentucky
0.2370
0
9
0
225
227
Texas Southern
0.2350
3
4
0
226
230
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
0.2328
2
2
1
227
224
Western Carolina
0.2315
1
8
0
228
218
Tennessee State
0.2229
3
6
0
229
232
Murray State
0.2101
2
6
0
230
236
Nicholls State
0.2096
1
8
0
231
228
Jackson State
0.2002
3
4
1
232
231
Southeast Missouri State
0.1962
0
8
0
233
229
Alcorn State
0.1916
2
5
0
234
239
Morehead State
0.1789
0
6
2
235
233
Northwestern State
0.1744
0
9
0
236
234
Campbell
0.1736
1
6
0
237
237
Howard
0.1694
2
7
0
238
238
Georgetown
0.2101
0
9
0
239
235
Indiana State
0.1649
1
8
0
240
243
Idaho State
0.1566
0
9
0
241
240
Presbyterian
0.1559
0
9
0
242
242
Valparaiso
0.1472
0
6
0
243
241
Alabama State
0.1416
2
5
0
244
245
Savannah State
0.0824
0
5
0
245
244
Mississippi Valley State
0.0775
1
7
0

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