2010 WASEAN Team Ratings – Final Including Bowls

I realize I’m about a month late here; but hey, this isn’t my full-time job!

Auburn won the national championship, and for that I congratulate them. The Tigers had a great season. I don’t think they were the best team in the country though - when looking at the entire season.

That doesn’t mean they didn’t deserve the championship, the best team doesn’t always win. At the end of the year, they probably were the best team, or at least as good as anyone else. But they were nothing special for the first half of the season, need I remind you of their OT game with Clemson, or their 37-34 nail-biter with Kentucky?

That being said, I am going to rework the ratings in the off-season, so they give more of a feel for who had the best season, as opposed to who would win if we played every game 1000 times. The idea is to look at a team’s opponents and the scores of the games, then look at the odds that a team of a certain quality would have the team’s record against that schedule. It’s something similar to what Bill James did in his early Abstracts when rating pitchers.

Also note who the only team undefeated in regulation was this year. That was TCU.

Please click the ‘read more’ link to see the complete ratings and have a great off-season! Also note that for the FCS teams, the regular season rank is where the team was ranked after week 12 of the season, while for the FBS teams it’s where they were ranked after week 15.

RK	RS	Team	WASEAN	RW	RL	RT
1	1	Boise State	0.8827	12	0	1
2	2	Oregon	0.8720	12	1	0
3	3	TCU	0.8507	13	0	0
4	4	Stanford	0.8486	12	1	0
5	6	Alabama	0.8432	10	3	0
6	5	Ohio State	0.8350	12	1	0
7	7	Auburn	0.8188	13	0	1
8	9	Arkansas	0.7826	9	3	1
9	13	LSU	0.7725	11	2	0
10	11	Oklahoma	0.7713	12	2	0
11	10	Wisconsin	0.7678	11	2	0
12	14	Oklahoma State	0.7653	11	2	0
13	8	Virginia Tech	0.7618	11	3	0
14	12	Missouri	0.7575	10	3	0
15	15	Florida State	0.7551	10	4	0
16	16	Nevada	0.7451	12	1	1
17	21	North Carolina State	0.7407	9	3	1
18	21	Delaware	0.7324	11	2	1
19	20	South Carolina	0.7311	9	5	0
20	18	Texas A&M	0.7244	9	4	0
21	23	Iowa	0.7224	8	5	0
22	24	Arizona State	0.7210	5	6	1
23	32	Mississippi State	0.7141	9	3	1
24	22	West Virginia	0.7123	8	3	2
25	19	Nebraska	0.7117	9	4	1
26	30	Florida	0.7081	7	5	1
27	27	Georgia	0.7071	6	6	1
28	37	Villanova	0.7010	8	5	1
29	26	Arizona	0.6935	7	5	1
30	31	Utah	0.6912	9	3	1
31	36	Pittsburgh	0.6893	8	4	1
32	35	Illinois	0.6870	7	5	1
33	37	Northern Illinois	0.6867	11	3	0
34	38	Notre Dame	0.6861	8	4	1
35	28	Miami (FL)	0.6858	7	5	1
36	33	USC	0.6834	8	5	0
37	40	UCF	0.6767	11	3	0
38	42	Maryland	0.6689	9	4	0
39	29	Hawaii	0.6679	10	4	0
40	31	William & Mary	0.6659	8	4	0
41	46	San Diego State	0.6612	9	4	0
42	44	Oregon State	0.6585	5	6	1
43	45	New Hampshire	0.6583	8	4	1
44	45	Air Force	0.6565	9	4	0
45	41	Clemson	0.6548	6	6	1
46	34	Michigan State	0.6526	10	2	1
47	54	Tulsa	0.6439	10	3	0
48	48	California	0.6414	5	7	0
49	47	North Carolina	0.6368	7	5	1
50	50	Appalachian State	0.6358	10	2	1
51	52	Louisville	0.6258	7	5	1
52	73	Georgia Southern	0.6239	9	5	1
53	49	Navy	0.6200	9	4	0
54	56	Kansas State	0.6112	7	6	0
55	62	Pennsylvania	0.6104	8	1	1
56	55	Penn State	0.6092	7	6	0
57	61	Jacksonville	0.6088	9	1	0
58	61	Tennessee	0.6036	5	6	2
59	52	Stephen F. Austin	0.5988	9	3	0
60	53	Baylor	0.5985	7	6	0
61	68	South Florida	0.5969	6	5	2
62	74	Brigham Young	0.5908	7	6	0
63	59	Connecticut	0.5902	7	5	1
64	71	Wofford	0.5901	9	3	0
65	68	James Madison	0.5894	6	4	1
66	66	Southern Miss	0.5895	8	4	1
67	70	Syracuse	0.5864	8	5	0
68	69	Texas Tech	0.5842	8	5	0
69	71	Boston College	0.5817	7	6	0
70	64	Georgia Tech	0.5817	6	7	0
71	90	Eastern Washington	0.5809	11	2	1
72	67	Kentucky	0.5806	6	7	0
73	70	Western Illinois	0.5781	8	5	0
74	58	Michigan	0.5741	6	6	1
75	73	Temple	0.5727	7	4	1
76	84	Washington	0.5709	6	6	1
77	64	Robert Morris	0.5681	8	3	0
78	84	Sacramento State	0.5619	5	4	1
79	77	Western Michigan	0.5592	6	6	0
80	118	North Dakota State	0.5592	9	4	1
81	77	Liberty	0.5570	8	3	0
82	78	Texas	0.5557	5	7	0
83	88	Lehigh	0.5535	10	3	0
84	79	Massachusetts	0.5508	6	5	0
85	83	Cincinnati	0.5500	4	8	0
86	86	Harvard	0.5478	7	3	0
87	88	Houston	0.5450	5	7	0
88	89	Mississippi	0.5446	4	7	1
89	76	Fresno State	0.5428	8	5	0
90	99	Northern Arizona	0.5360	5	5	0
91	95	South Alabama	0.5339	4	0	0
92	103	Chattanooga	0.5329	6	5	0
93	87	Northern Iowa	0.5281	7	4	1
94	109	Southern Utah	0.5274	5	5	0
95	108	Elon	0.5246	5	4	1
96	90	Southern Methodist	0.5234	6	7	1
97	105	Furman	0.5241	5	6	0
98	92	Toledo	0.5231	8	5	0
99	104	Army	0.5230	7	5	1
100	95	Northwestern	0.5210	7	6	0
101	97	Jacksonville State	0.5211	7	2	2
102	116	Troy	0.5193	8	5	0
103	110	South Dakota State	0.5176	5	6	0
104	106	Iowa State	0.5111	5	6	1
105	100	Louisiana Tech	0.5109	5	7	0
106	107	Virginia	0.5100	4	8	0
107	116	Colgate	0.5111	7	4	0
108	109	UCLA	0.5078	4	8	0
109	115	Dayton	0.5095	8	1	1
110	105	Colorado	0.5077	5	7	0
111	111	Old Dominion	0.5078	8	3	0
112	93	Ohio	0.5031	8	5	0
113	108	Idaho	0.5026	5	7	1
114	104	South Carolina State	0.4985	8	3	0
115	117	Florida International	0.4964	6	6	1
116	114	Central Michigan	0.4954	3	8	1
117	111	East Carolina	0.4910	5	6	2
118	121	Dartmouth	0.4852	6	3	1
119	113	Bethune-Cookman	0.4804	9	2	0
120	120	Stony Brook	0.4793	5	4	1
121	128	Miami (OH)	0.4783	10	4	0
122	119	Montana State	0.4767	6	3	2
123	125	Brown	0.4771	5	3	2
124	122	Rutgers	0.4762	3	8	1
125	124	Jackson State	0.4737	7	2	0
126	125	Arkansas State	0.4742	4	7	1
127	123	Sam Houston State	0.4716	6	4	1
128	133	Montana	0.4709	6	4	0
129	122	Coastal Carolina	0.4697	5	5	2
130	126	Bryant	0.4687	5	4	0
131	132	Drake	0.4684	6	4	0
132	129	Minnesota	0.4653	3	9	0
133	129	Richmond	0.4641	4	5	2
134	141	Grambling State	0.4614	8	1	1
135	130	Maine	0.4608	3	7	1
136	135	Central Arkansas	0.4607	6	4	0
137	127	Southeast Missouri State	0.4605	8	3	0
138	134	Rhode Island	0.4588	4	6	1
139	135	Duke	0.4584	3	9	0
140	137	Murray State	0.4585	6	5	0
141	136	Purdue	0.4565	4	7	1
142	140	Kent State	0.4550	5	7	0
143	145	Southern Illinois	0.4543	3	6	1
144	143	Missouri State	0.4542	5	4	2
145	142	Cal Poly	0.4536	6	4	0
146	144	Youngstown State	0.4535	3	8	0
147	139	Indiana	0.4511	4	7	1
148	146	Duquesne	0.4452	7	4	0
149	147	Albany	0.4452	6	4	1
150	150	Washington State	0.4410	2	10	0
151	149	Central Connecticut State	0.4418	5	3	2
152	151	McNeese State	0.4381	6	5	0
153	150	Monmouth	0.4375	3	7	1
154	155	Yale	0.4304	7	3	0
155	154	Wake Forest	0.4285	3	9	0
156	156	Texas Southern	0.4278	7	2	1
157	159	San Diego	0.4252	5	5	0
158	159	UAB	0.4199	3	7	2
159	155	UTEP	0.4191	6	7	0
160	161	Wyoming	0.4173	3	9	0
161	161	Eastern Kentucky	0.4161	4	5	0
162	163	Holy Cross	0.4116	6	5	0
163	160	Marshall	0.4077	5	6	1
164	166	Samford	0.4063	3	7	0
165	165	Utah State	0.4039	4	8	0
166	165	Fordham	0.4042	5	5	0
167	168	California-Davis	0.4028	6	5	0
168	164	Wagner	0.4015	4	5	1
169	169	Indiana State	0.3986	3	5	1
170	170	Vanderbilt	0.3934	2	10	0
171	175	Weber State	0.3912	5	5	1
172	170	Prairie View A&M	0.3857	6	4	0
173	172	Georgia State	0.3837	4	3	2
174	177	South Dakota	0.3828	3	7	0
175	171	Middle Tennessee State	0.3827	6	7	0
176	174	Sacred Heart	0.3814	4	7	0
177	179	Columbia	0.3766	4	6	0
178	178	Ball State	0.3706	3	7	2
179	179	North Texas	0.3689	3	9	0
180	183	North Dakota	0.3677	2	8	0
181	176	Florida A&M	0.3658	7	3	1
182	180	Rice	0.3644	4	8	0
183	182	Tennessee-Martin	0.3623	5	5	0
184	186	Louisiana-Monroe	0.3611	5	6	1
185	184	Bowling Green	0.3609	2	10	0
186	183	Kansas	0.3541	3	9	0
187	187	Tennessee Tech	0.3536	4	6	0
188	190	Lafayette	0.3519	2	8	1
189	189	San Jose State	0.3457	1	11	1
190	189	Alabama State	0.3456	6	4	0
191	194	Georgetown	0.3447	4	6	1
192	193	Alcorn State	0.3429	4	6	0
193	192	Tulane	0.3413	4	8	0
194	193	Western Kentucky	0.3411	1	10	1
195	196	Illinois State	0.3404	4	5	1
196	199	Butler	0.3368	2	7	0
197	198	Campbell	0.3358	2	7	1
198	198	Colorado State	0.3350	3	9	0
199	196	UNLV	0.3336	2	11	0
200	205	Marist	0.3300	3	7	1
201	202	Texas State	0.3295	3	6	1
202	200	Tennessee State	0.3294	3	7	0
203	201	Southeastern Louisiana	0.3279	2	8	0
204	204	Louisiana-Lafayette	0.3275	3	9	0
205	203	Florida Atlantic	0.3251	4	8	0
206	197	Hampton	0.3239	6	5	0
207	208	Portland State	0.3219	2	9	0
208	209	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	0.3127	4	6	0
209	211	Northern Colorado	0.3075	2	7	1
210	209	Buffalo	0.3030	2	10	0
211	212	Northwestern State	0.3008	2	6	1
212	210	Norfolk State	0.2945	5	5	0
213	213	Western Carolina	0.2941	2	8	0
214	215	Nicholls State	0.2850	2	7	1
215	216	Towson	0.2731	0	10	1
216	217	St. Francis (PA)	0.2687	1	10	0
217	218	Eastern Michigan	0.2610	1	10	1
218	218	Gardner-Webb	0.2609	2	6	2
219	221	Citadel	0.2601	2	8	0
220	220	Morehead State	0.2593	4	6	1
221	219	Eastern Illinois	0.2546	1	9	0
222	225	Lamar	0.2477	2	6	0
223	223	Presbyterian	0.2465	2	8	0
224	222	Southern University	0.2453	2	7	0
225	226	Alabama A&M	0.2407	2	8	0
226	229	Princeton	0.2404	0	9	1
227	225	Akron	0.2404	1	9	2
228	228	Davidson	0.2396	3	7	0
229	224	Delaware State	0.2383	3	8	0
230	230	Cornell	0.2377	2	8	0
231	227	Virginia Military	0.2345	2	8	0
232	232	Bucknell	0.2322	1	10	0
233	233	Memphis	0.2296	1	11	0
234	234	Morgan State	0.2246	3	7	0
235	231	North Carolina Central	0.2237	1	6	1
236	234	New Mexico State	0.2218	2	10	0
237	237	New Mexico	0.2176	1	11	0
238	238	Idaho State	0.2112	0	9	1
239	239	Charleston Southern	0.1920	1	8	0
240	240	Austin Peay	0.1777	1	9	0
241	241	North Carolina A&T	0.1640	1	8	1
242	242	Howard	0.1361	0	10	0
243	243	Savannah State	0.1163	1	8	0
244	244	Valparaiso	0.1129	0	9	0
245	245	Mississippi Valley State	0.1062	0	10	0