2009 Week 9 NFL Projections

I was thinking spreads are too big, and I need to build more regression into them. But then I look and Sagarin has a similar spread at this point. I've got 32.06 between the Saints and Rams on a neutral field, he's got 31.98. It's just a weird year, with some truly awful teams I guess.

Remember the caveats, injuries aren't accounted for. All games are created equal, etc..

Miami 19, New England 28

Kansas City 17, Jacksonville 23

Baltimore 23, Cincinnati 23 OT

Green Bay 30, Tampa Bay 13

Arizona 21, Chicago 23

Washington 10, Atlanta 31

Houston 17, Indianapolis 31

Carolina 13, New Orelans 38

Detroit 14, Seattle 28

Tennessee 14, San Francisco 27

San Diego 23, NY Giants 26

Dallas 24, Philadelphia 26

Pittsburgh 16, Denver 24