But Texas was up to the challenge and blew out Oklahoma State to remain #1. TCU did move past Alabama and Cincinnati and now sits at #3.
The top 6 have now separated themselves from the pack. Boise State at #6 is closer to passing Texas for #1 (.0306) than falling behind #7 Oregon (.0330).
Iowa has won every game, yet they continue to drop. Their six-week raw ranking trend is now 3-10-13-14-15-17. I saw raw ranking trend because I've made an adjustment to the formula this week. I've decided to recognize a limitation in any computer ranking system regarding undefeated/untied (remember we don't count OT) teams and winless/tieless teams.
Going forward, I will move undefeated teams above the best team they've beaten, and winless teams below the worst team they've lost to. I think this is a reasonable compromise to recognize the limitations of the system. As I understand it, the Billingsley rankings, which are one of the six computers used by the BCS also do this. So if you see a team above or below a team with a higher/lower rating, you'll know why.
This week the adjustment impacts the rankings of Iowa (17->11), New Mexico (202->206) and Georgetown (233->238)
Here are the rankings through week 9. I will update them with the Marshall/UCF game after it's played tonight.
| RK | LW | Team | WASEAN | RW | RL | RT |
| 1 | 1 | Texas | 0.8759 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 2 | Florida | 0.8729 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 6 | TCU | 0.8659 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 3 | Cincinnati | 0.8561 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 4 | Alabama | 0.8475 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 5 | Boise State | 0.8453 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 10 | Oregon | 0.8123 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 8 | 8 | Oklahoma | 0.8099 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | 9 | Georgia Tech | 0.8084 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | 7 | Virginia Tech | 0.7998 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | 11 | Iowa | 0.7581 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 12 | Penn State | 0.7994 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | 17 | Clemson | 0.7902 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | 14 | Pittsburgh | 0.7889 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | 19 | LSU | 0.7781 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | 15 | Miami (FL) | 0.7689 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | 18 | Ohio State | 0.7688 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | 21 | Villanova | 0.7572 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | 13 | USC | 0.7555 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 | 23 | Nebraska | 0.7467 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 | 26 | Tennessee | 0.7425 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 | 16 | Fresno State | 0.7373 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| 23 | 25 | Northern Iowa | 0.7350 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 | 20 | Mississippi | 0.7337 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 | 24 | Arizona | 0.7301 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 | 32 | South Florida | 0.7255 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 | 30 | William & Mary | 0.7213 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 | 44 | Texas Tech | 0.7198 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 | 41 | Boston College | 0.7155 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 30 | 42 | Air Force | 0.7139 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| 31 | 28 | Richmond | 0.7132 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 32 | 27 | Arkansas | 0.7128 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| 33 | 29 | Stanford | 0.7120 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 34 | 22 | Central Michigan | 0.7062 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 35 | 35 | Utah | 0.6990 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| 36 | 33 | West Virginia | 0.6963 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 37 | 34 | Florida State | 0.6955 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| 38 | 43 | Houston | 0.6945 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 39 | 52 | North Carolina | 0.6921 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 40 | 37 | Oklahoma State | 0.6891 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 41 | 31 | Connecticut | 0.6886 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| 42 | 45 | Brigham Young | 0.6865 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 43 | 51 | Auburn | 0.6864 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 44 | 53 | Elon | 0.6852 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 45 | 46 | California | 0.6851 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 46 | 54 | Wisconsin | 0.6848 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| 47 | 39 | Oregon State | 0.6825 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 48 | 49 | South Dakota State | 0.6805 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 49 | 40 | Notre Dame | 0.6777 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| 50 | 38 | South Carolina | 0.6776 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 51 | 61 | Mississippi State | 0.6722 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| 52 | 36 | Kansas | 0.6640 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 53 | 60 | Southern Illinois | 0.6616 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 54 | 69 | Rutgers | 0.6587 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 55 | 56 | Jacksonville State | 0.6534 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 56 | 55 | Georgia | 0.6528 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| 57 | 47 | Michigan State | 0.6519 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 58 | 50 | Kentucky | 0.6493 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| 59 | 70 | Missouri | 0.6492 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 60 | 58 | Navy | 0.6445 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| 61 | 62 | UCLA | 0.6371 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 62 | 57 | New Hampshire | 0.6361 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 63 | 72 | Wake Forest | 0.6311 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| 64 | 64 | Washington | 0.6284 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 65 | 59 | Virginia | 0.6255 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 66 | 74 | Duke | 0.6227 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 67 | 68 | Southern Miss | 0.6191 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 68 | 48 | Michigan | 0.6143 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 69 | 71 | Northern Illinois | 0.6138 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 70 | 66 | Arizona State | 0.6136 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| 71 | 88 | Texas A&M | 0.6111 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 72 | 79 | East Carolina | 0.6091 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 73 | 93 | South Carolina State | 0.6065 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 74 | 78 | Temple | 0.6045 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 75 | 75 | Kansas State | 0.6021 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 76 | 86 | North Carolina State | 0.5980 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 77 | 83 | Montana | 0.5975 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| 78 | 63 | Iowa State | 0.5949 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 79 | 95 | Appalachian State | 0.5923 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| 80 | 81 | Minnesota | 0.5919 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| 81 | 67 | Massachusetts | 0.5859 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| 82 | 91 | Troy | 0.5852 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 83 | 101 | Southern Methodist | 0.5815 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| 84 | 65 | Delaware | 0.5782 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| 85 | 82 | Pennsylvania | 0.5781 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| 86 | 94 | Holy Cross | 0.5740 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 87 | 90 | Harvard | 0.5688 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 88 | 80 | Lafayette | 0.5653 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| 89 | 84 | Ohio | 0.5634 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 90 | 73 | Tulsa | 0.5633 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| 91 | 89 | Marshall | 0.5620 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 92 | 85 | UCF | 0.5618 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 93 | 77 | Arkansas State | 0.5609 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 94 | 97 | Liberty | 0.5533 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 95 | 110 | James Madison | 0.5514 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 96 | 96 | Nevada | 0.5475 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 97 | 92 | Baylor | 0.5444 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 98 | 76 | Stephen F. Austin | 0.5395 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 99 | 102 | Bowling Green | 0.5320 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 100 | 98 | Idaho | 0.5295 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 101 | 122 | Southern Utah | 0.5290 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 102 | 106 | Louisville | 0.5287 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 103 | 87 | Purdue | 0.5284 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 104 | 114 | Louisiana Tech | 0.5245 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 105 | 109 | Albany | 0.5218 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 106 | 125 | Utah State | 0.5213 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 107 | 112 | Brown | 0.5181 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| 108 | 100 | Louisiana-Monroe | 0.5177 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| 109 | 123 | Middle Tennessee | 0.5163 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 110 | 105 | Buffalo | 0.5152 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 111 | 111 | Central Connecticut State | 0.5133 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 112 | 116 | Syracuse | 0.5129 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 113 | 113 | Vanderbilt | 0.5103 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| 114 | 99 | Colorado | 0.5101 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 115 | 117 | Indiana | 0.5089 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| 116 | 104 | Central Arkansas | 0.5036 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| 117 | 103 | San Diego State | 0.5018 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| 118 | 134 | Eastern Washington | 0.4978 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 119 | 115 | Florida A&M | 0.4963 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| 120 | 124 | Kent State | 0.4955 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 121 | 107 | Colorado State | 0.4954 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 122 | 120 | Colgate | 0.4950 | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| 123 | 127 | McNeese State | 0.4916 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 124 | 108 | Northern Arizona | 0.4889 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| 125 | 121 | Northwestern | 0.4869 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 126 | 119 | Weber State | 0.4864 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 127 | 128 | Yale | 0.4863 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| 128 | 147 | Illinois | 0.4822 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 129 | 130 | Wyoming | 0.4816 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| 130 | 137 | Maine | 0.4779 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 131 | 118 | Western Michigan | 0.4727 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 132 | 126 | Eastern Illinois | 0.4676 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 133 | 135 | Maryland | 0.4660 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| 134 | 153 | Norfolk State | 0.4595 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 135 | 129 | Columbia | 0.4583 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 136 | 131 | Cal Poly | 0.4438 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 137 | 138 | Dayton | 0.4432 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 138 | 142 | Hofstra | 0.4407 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| 139 | 133 | Samford | 0.4393 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 140 | 184 | Texas State | 0.4385 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| 141 | 136 | Akron | 0.4381 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 142 | 159 | UAB | 0.4312 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 143 | 151 | Drake | 0.4299 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| 144 | 145 | UNLV | 0.4288 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 145 | 162 | Citadel | 0.4288 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| 146 | 139 | California-Davis | 0.4283 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 147 | 144 | South Dakota | 0.4279 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 148 | 150 | North Dakota State | 0.4278 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 149 | 132 | UTEP | 0.4261 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 150 | 140 | Florida International | 0.4253 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| 151 | 141 | Fordham | 0.4231 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 152 | 156 | Stony Brook | 0.4185 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 153 | 146 | Florida Atlantic | 0.4170 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 154 | 152 | Hawaii | 0.4151 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 155 | 143 | San Jose State | 0.4141 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 156 | 154 | Youngstown State | 0.4134 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| 157 | 149 | Furman | 0.4133 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| 158 | 165 | Illinois State | 0.4116 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| 159 | 157 | Montana State | 0.4098 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 160 | 168 | North Dakota | 0.4097 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| 161 | 161 | Georgia Southern | 0.4068 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| 162 | 148 | Toledo | 0.4051 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| 163 | 163 | Lehigh | 0.4000 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 164 | 164 | Jacksonville | 0.3930 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 165 | 155 | Missouri State | 0.3926 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 166 | 174 | Grambling State | 0.3886 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 167 | 158 | Chattanooga | 0.3865 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| 168 | 177 | Prairie View A&M | 0.3801 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| 169 | 166 | North Texas | 0.3769 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 170 | 160 | Memphis | 0.3760 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 171 | 167 | Army | 0.3750 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 172 | 178 | Louisiana-Lafayette | 0.3747 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| 173 | 188 | Southeastern Louisiana | 0.3684 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 174 | 169 | Ball State | 0.3661 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 175 | 173 | Monmouth | 0.3565 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| 176 | 172 | Eastern Kentucky | 0.3559 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 177 | 170 | Bryant | 0.3514 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 178 | 183 | Marist | 0.3471 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 179 | 175 | Dartmouth | 0.3468 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 180 | 176 | Wagner | 0.3456 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 181 | 187 | Old Dominion | 0.3424 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 182 | 182 | Miami (OH) | 0.3390 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 183 | 190 | San Diego | 0.3320 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 184 | 179 | Cornell | 0.3315 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 185 | 180 | Washington State | 0.3293 | 0 | 7 | 1 |
| 186 | 186 | St. Francis (PA) | 0.3274 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 187 | 171 | Delaware State | 0.3267 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 188 | 191 | Wofford | 0.3224 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 189 | 181 | Coastal Carolina | 0.3193 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 190 | 193 | Northern Colorado | 0.3192 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 191 | 185 | Rhode Island | 0.3164 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 192 | 192 | Hampton | 0.3123 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 193 | 189 | Robert Morris | 0.3117 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 194 | 194 | Alabama A&M | 0.3048 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| 195 | 196 | Tennessee Tech | 0.2919 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| 196 | 198 | Sacred Heart | 0.2898 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 197 | 207 | Sacramento State | 0.2826 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 198 | 195 | Virginia Military | 0.2791 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 199 | 197 | Western Illinois | 0.2758 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 200 | 204 | Gardner-Webb | 0.2747 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| 201 | 201 | Eastern Michigan | 0.2737 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| 202 | 206 | Austin Peay | 0.2721 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 203 | 208 | Princeton | 0.2716 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 204 | 205 | Duquesne | 0.2700 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| 205 | 200 | New Mexico State | 0.2693 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 206 | 217 | New Mexico | 0.2723 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| 207 | 215 | Morgan State | 0.2662 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| 208 | 227 | Bethune-Cookman | 0.2648 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 209 | 202 | Tulane | 0.2636 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 210 | 223 | Charleston Southern | 0.2626 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 211 | 203 | North Carolina A&T | 0.2622 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 212 | 209 | Northeastern | 0.2596 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 213 | 212 | Butler | 0.2561 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| 214 | 199 | Portland State | 0.2538 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 215 | 210 | Bucknell | 0.2514 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 216 | 226 | Southern University | 0.2480 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| 217 | 211 | Davidson | 0.2395 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 218 | 218 | Tennessee State | 0.2377 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 219 | 224 | Winston-Salem State | 0.2367 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| 220 | 216 | North Carolina Central | 0.2359 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| 221 | 214 | Western Kentucky | 0.2358 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| 222 | 213 | Towson | 0.2316 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 223 | 219 | Tennessee-Martin | 0.2240 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 224 | 228 | Western Carolina | 0.2212 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 225 | 221 | Rice | 0.2177 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| 226 | 222 | Sam Houston State | 0.2145 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 227 | 241 | Texas Southern | 0.2122 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 228 | 230 | Jackson State | 0.1904 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 229 | 225 | Alcorn State | 0.1895 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 230 | 220 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 0.1894 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 231 | 229 | Southeast Missouri State | 0.1874 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| 232 | 232 | Murray State | 0.1869 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 233 | 236 | Northwestern State | 0.1820 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| 234 | 237 | Campbell | 0.1712 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 235 | 231 | Indiana State | 0.1675 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 236 | 238 | Nicholls State | 0.1657 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 237 | 234 | Howard | 0.1642 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 238 | 235 | Georgetown | 0.1825 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| 239 | 233 | Morehead State | 0.1633 | 0 | 6 | 2 |
| 240 | 239 | Presbyterian | 0.1590 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| 241 | 240 | Alabama State | 0.1462 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 242 | 242 | Valparaiso | 0.1247 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 243 | 243 | Idaho State | 0.1184 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| 244 | 244 | Mississippi Valley State | 0.0817 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 245 | 245 | Savannah State | 0.0797 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
3 comments:
Projections ???
I should have them up later tonight.
I do have tonight's game done, Boise State 37, Louisiana Tech 14
This system is FLAWED. One of the only teams to of beated 2 top 10 teams is not on the list. This same team has only one loss. They must be a flaw in the system. What team you ask? Wisconsin!
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